Java StarLogo 2.1 English `turtle` turtles-own [sick?] to infect rt random 100 lt random 100 fd 1 if sick? ;if you're sick, make all the other turtles on your patch sick [setsick?-at 0 0 true make-sick] end to recover if sick? [if (random 100) < recover-rate ;randomly recover based on the recover-rate slider [setsick? false make-healthy]] end to make-healthy setc green end to make-sick setc red end `observer` to setup ca crt number ask-turtles [setxy random screen-width random screen-height setshape 2 ifelse who < init-infected [make-sick setsick? true] [make-healthy setsick? false]] clearplots end to go startinfectbutton startrecoverbutton end to stop-it stopinfectbutton stoprecoverbutton end to infected-% output ((count-turtles-with [sick?]) / count-turtles) * 100 end `information` Epidemic This project presents a very simple model for the spread of a disease. There are two types of creatures: healthy creatures (green) and sick creatures (red). When a healthy creature comes in contact with a sick creature, it becomes sick. Click the "setup" button to setup the creatures. Click the "go" button to start the simulation. The "infected-%" monitor shows the percentage of sick creatures. The "number" slider controls the number of creatures. (Changes in this slider do not take effect until the next setup.) The "init-infected" slider controls the initial number of sick creatures. The "recover-rate" slider controls the rate at which sick creatures become healthy. If you start with just one sick creature, the disease spreads slowly at first. But as more creatures become infected, the disease spreads rapidly. The spread of the disease is a good example of exponential growth. If the "recover" slider is set at greater than zero, sick creatures have a chance to become healthy again. So there are two competing forces: disease spreads by contact, but sick creatures have a probabilistic chance to become healthy again. Over time, the overall percentage of sick creatures should reach a rough equilibrium. How do changes in the recover rate affect the equilibrium percentage of infected creatures? How is the equilibrium affected by changes in the total number of creatures? `interface` SLCanvas top-left 17 252 SLButton turtle-or-observer? turtle top-left 60 6 width-height 71 33 name "infectbutton" line-to-run "infect" forever? true button-number 5 show-name? false whichip 8 SLMonitor top-left 187 137 width-height 80 36 name "monitor0" list-to-run "infected-%" digits 0 delay 0.5 monitor-number 1 show-name? false whichip 13 onewhichip 14 SLSlider top-left 239 17 width-height 102 25 name "slider2" variable "recover-rate" min-value 0 max-value 10 current-value 1 slider-number 2 show-name? false SLSlider top-left 145 17 width-height 102 25 name "slider0" variable "number" min-value 0 max-value 1500 current-value 1000 slider-number 0 show-name? false SLButton turtle-or-observer? turtle top-left 60 89 width-height 71 33 name "recoverbutton" line-to-run "recover" forever? true button-number 6 show-name? false whichip 9 SLSlider top-left 192 17 width-height 102 25 name "slider1" variable "init-infected" min-value 0 max-value 700 current-value 198 slider-number 1 show-name? false SLButton turtle-or-observer? observer top-left 8 89 width-height 71 33 name "button2" line-to-run "go" forever? false button-number 3 show-name? false whichip 10 SLButton turtle-or-observer? observer top-left 8 172 width-height 71 33 name "button3" line-to-run "stop-it" forever? false button-number 4 show-name? false whichip 11 SLButton turtle-or-observer? observer top-left 8 6 width-height 71 33 name "button1" line-to-run "setup" forever? false button-number 2 show-name? false whichip 12 SLLineWidget top-left 277 15 width-height 190 118 id 3 order 3 type 1 title "Population vs Time" delay-string "1.0" ymin 201.02 ymax 798.98 xmin 0.0050000000000000044 xmax 0.995 xlabel "" ylabel "" grid false connected true autoscale true autoscale-x true autoscale-y true location 0 0 whichip 15 onewhichip 16 wizard-on true lineset-id 1 lineset-name "sick" lineset-order 3 lineset-type 1 lineset-color -65536 lineset-displayed? true lineset-instruction "( count-turtles-with [ color = red] )" extrainfo-extra? true extrainfo-instruction "number of" extrainfo-breed "turtles" extrainfo-var "Xcor" extrainfo-kind "" extrainfo-with? true extrainfo-with-text " color = red" extrainfo-xy? false extrainfo-xval? false lineset-end 1 lineset-id 2 lineset-name "healthy" lineset-order 3 lineset-type 1 lineset-color -11418368 lineset-displayed? true lineset-instruction "( count-turtles-with [ color = green] )" extrainfo-extra? true extrainfo-instruction "number of" extrainfo-breed "turtles" extrainfo-var "Xcor" extrainfo-kind "" extrainfo-with? true extrainfo-with-text " color = green" extrainfo-xy? false extrainfo-xval? false lineset-end 2 lineset-id 3 lineset-name "" lineset-order 3 lineset-type 1 lineset-color -6262704 lineset-displayed? false lineset-instruction "( count-turtles) " extrainfo-extra? true extrainfo-instruction "number of" extrainfo-breed "turtles" extrainfo-var "Xcor" extrainfo-kind "" extrainfo-with false extrainfo-xy? false extrainfo-xval? false lineset-end 3 lineset-id 4 lineset-name "" lineset-order 3 lineset-type 1 lineset-color -256 lineset-displayed? false lineset-instruction "( count-turtles) " extrainfo-extra? true extrainfo-instruction "number of" extrainfo-breed "turtles" extrainfo-var "Xcor" extrainfo-kind "" extrainfo-with false extrainfo-xy? false extrainfo-xval? false lineset-end 4 lineset-id 5 lineset-name "" lineset-order 3 lineset-type 1 lineset-color -11418368 lineset-displayed? false lineset-instruction "( count-turtles) " extrainfo-extra? true extrainfo-instruction "number of" extrainfo-breed "turtles" extrainfo-var "Xcor" extrainfo-kind "" extrainfo-with false extrainfo-xy? false extrainfo-xval? false lineset-end 5 lineset-id 6 lineset-name "" lineset-order 3 lineset-type 1 lineset-color -16711936 lineset-displayed? false lineset-instruction "( count-turtles) " extrainfo-extra? true extrainfo-instruction "number of" extrainfo-breed "turtles" extrainfo-var "Xcor" extrainfo-kind "" extrainfo-with false extrainfo-xy? false extrainfo-xval? false lineset-end 6 lineset-id 7 lineset-name "" lineset-order 3 lineset-type 1 lineset-color -16711738 lineset-displayed? false lineset-instruction "( count-turtles) " extrainfo-extra? true extrainfo-instruction "number of" extrainfo-breed "turtles" extrainfo-var "Xcor" extrainfo-kind "" extrainfo-with false extrainfo-xy? false extrainfo-xval? false lineset-end 7 lineset-id 8 lineset-name "" lineset-order 3 lineset-type 1 lineset-color -16711681 lineset-displayed? false lineset-instruction "( count-turtles) " extrainfo-extra? true extrainfo-instruction "number of" extrainfo-breed "turtles" extrainfo-var "Xcor" extrainfo-kind "" extrainfo-with false extrainfo-xy? false extrainfo-xval? false lineset-end 8 lineset-id 9 lineset-name "" lineset-order 3 lineset-type 1 lineset-color -16744449 lineset-displayed? false lineset-instruction "( count-turtles) " extrainfo-extra? true 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